Back to UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Prelims1 Flyweight

Ben Nguyen vs Geane Herrera

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson ·Rod Laver Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ben Nguyen
Geane Herrera
58% 42%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
16-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-4
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nguyen: 105 sig / 0 TD · Herrera: 22 sig / 1 TD
Ben Nguyen
Geane Herrera
37
Sig strikes landed
21
65
Sig strikes attempted
46
48
Total strikes landed
28
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
151s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ben Nguyen

"Ten"
16-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
W UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
L1

Geane Herrera

"La Pulga"
9-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—