Back to UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov

UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
56% 44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Rogerio de Lima: 2 sig / 0 TD · Antigulov: 0 sig / 1 TD
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
28
Sig strikes landed
20
55
Sig strikes attempted
40
37
Total strikes landed
37
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
94s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

"Pezao"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
Blue corner

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30