Prelims1
Bantamweight
Johnny Eduardo vs Manvel Gamburyan
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Johnny Eduardo
Manvel Gamburyan
73%
27%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
38
Age
Δ 3y
36
28-14
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-11
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Eduardo: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Gamburyan: 11 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Eduardo
Manvel Gamburyan
32
Sig strikes landed
26
77
Sig strikes attempted
58
43
Total strikes landed
40
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
39s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Johnny Eduardo
28-14
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
Blue corner
L1
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—