Prelims1
Heavyweight
Luis Henrique vs Christian Colombo
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Luis Henrique
Christian Colombo
75%
25%
Why
23
Age
Δ 13y
36
11-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
8-3-2
W1
Current streak
D1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Henrique: 31 sig / 6 TD ·
Colombo: 3 sig / 0 TD
Luis Henrique
Christian Colombo
24
Sig strikes landed
31
47
Sig strikes attempted
41
49
Total strikes landed
52
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.6
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
282s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Luis Henrique
"KLB"
11-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
Blue corner
D1
Christian Colombo
8-3-2
Career record
Height
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Last 1
D
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—