Back to UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Marion Reneau vs Milana Dudieva

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 ·The SSE Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Marion Reneau
Milana Dudieva
32% 68%
Why
39
Age
Δ 12y
27
9-9-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
11-7
L2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Reneau: 48 sig / 1 TD · Dudieva: 17 sig / 2 TD
Marion Reneau
Milana Dudieva
35
Sig strikes landed
33
98
Sig strikes attempted
76
64
Total strikes landed
49
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
112s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Marion Reneau

"The Belizean Bruiser"
9-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
Blue corner
L1

Milana Dudieva

11-7
Career record
Height
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—