Prelims1
Heavyweight
Justin Ledet vs Mark Godbeer
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
·The SSE Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Justin Ledet
Mark Godbeer
56%
44%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ledet: 3 sig / 1 TD ·
Godbeer: 5 sig / 0 TD
Justin Ledet
Mark Godbeer
49
Sig strikes landed
55
103
Sig strikes attempted
117
66
Total strikes landed
72
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
0.4
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.80
Knockdowns
0.10
28s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Justin Ledet
"El Blanco"
10-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
Mark Godbeer
"The Hand Of"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33