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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Anna Elmose vs Amanda Cooper

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Anna Elmose
Amanda Cooper
52% 48%
Why
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
3-3
Career record
Δ 17 pp
3-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Elmose: 63 sig / 0 TD · Cooper: 69 sig / 2 TD
Anna Elmose
Amanda Cooper
30
Sig strikes landed
36
51
Sig strikes attempted
66
65
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
237s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Anna Elmose

"Panda"
3-3
Career record
Height
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
Blue corner
L1

Amanda Cooper

"ABC"
3-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…