Main
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Jimi Manuwa
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
·Manchester Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Jimi Manuwa
59%
41%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 0"
80"
34
Age
Δ 3y
37
27-19
Career record
Δ 12 pp
17-7
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Saint Preux: 13 sig / 2 TD ·
Manuwa: 32 sig / 0 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Jimi Manuwa
27
Sig strikes landed
29
53
Sig strikes attempted
53
41
Total strikes landed
42
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ovince Saint Preux
27-19
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
17-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—