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Martin Bravo vs Claudio Puelles

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson ·Arena CDMX
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Martin Bravo
Claudio Puelles
60% 40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
23
Age
Δ 3y
20

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bravo: 56 sig / 0 TD · Puelles: 29 sig / 1 TD
Martin Bravo
Claudio Puelles
35
Sig strikes landed
38
76
Sig strikes attempted
80
49
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Martin Bravo

"El Toro"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
Blue corner

Claudio Puelles

"Prince of Peru"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
21