Main
Lightweight
Beneil Dariush vs Rashid Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Beneil Dariush
Rashid Magomedov
55%
45%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
24-8-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
21-2
W1
Current streak
W4
9
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dariush: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Magomedov: 41 sig / 1 TD
Beneil Dariush
Rashid Magomedov
38
Sig strikes landed
41
102
Sig strikes attempted
81
48
Total strikes landed
57
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
129s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
Blue corner
W4
Rashid Magomedov
"Highlander"
21-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—