Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Marcin Held
47%
53%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
35
Age
Δ 10y
25
L1
Current streak
—
11
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Held: 30 sig / 0 TD
Diego Sanchez
Marcin Held
31
Sig strikes landed
41
81
Sig strikes attempted
81
50
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
138s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
Blue corner
Marcin Held
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25