Back to UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Prelims2 Welterweight

Vicente Luque vs Hector Urbina

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Hector Urbina
76% 24%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
25-12-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-11-1
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Luque: 11 sig / 0 TD · Urbina: 5 sig / 0 TD
Vicente Luque
Hector Urbina
24
Sig strikes landed
19
51
Sig strikes attempted
45
45
Total strikes landed
35
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
182s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
40%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Vicente Luque

"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
Blue corner
L1

Hector Urbina

"El Toro"
17-11-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—