Back to UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Prelims2 Lightweight

Glaico Franca Moreira vs Gregor Gillespie

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Glaico Franca Moreira
Gregor Gillespie
56% 44%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Franca Moreira: 43 sig / 0 TD · Gillespie: 41 sig / 5 TD
Glaico Franca Moreira
Gregor Gillespie
34
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
60
57
Total strikes landed
54
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
196s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Glaico Franca Moreira

"Nego"
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
Blue corner

Gregor Gillespie

"The Gift"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30