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Godofredo Pepey vs Mike de la Torre

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Godofredo Pepey
Mike de la Torre
61% 39%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
13-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
15-7
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Pepey: 24 sig / 1 TD · de la Torre: 6 sig / 0 TD
Godofredo Pepey
Mike de la Torre
23
Sig strikes landed
28
60
Sig strikes attempted
60
37
Total strikes landed
40
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
130s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
33%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Godofredo Pepey

13-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
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W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
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W UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
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W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
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L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
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Blue corner
W1

Mike de la Torre

"El Cucuy"
15-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: American …
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W UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
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L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
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