Prelims1
Lightweight
Gilbert Burns vs Michel Prazeres
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Gilbert Burns
Michel Prazeres
41%
59%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
23-10
Career record
Δ 17 pp
27-4
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Burns: 46 sig / 1 TD ·
Prazeres: 67 sig / 5 TD
Gilbert Burns
Michel Prazeres
20
Sig strikes landed
24
59
Sig strikes attempted
50
41
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.2
3.5
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
152s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
23-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner
W2
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
27-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—