Back to UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Main Heavyweight

Roy Nelson vs Antonio Silva

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Roy Nelson
Antonio Silva
55% 45%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 9"
82"
40
Age
Δ 3y
37
22-15
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-13-1
L1
Current streak
L2
16
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nelson: 36 sig / 0 TD · Silva: 27 sig / 0 TD
Roy Nelson
Antonio Silva
22
Sig strikes landed
30
45
Sig strikes attempted
55
41
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
164s
Control time
32s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
71%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Roy Nelson

"Big Country"
22-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 16 fights · 7-9
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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L UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
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L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
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Blue corner
L2

Antonio Silva

"Bigfoot"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 10 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
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L UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
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W UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
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L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
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L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—