Main
Heavyweight
Roy Nelson vs Antonio Silva
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Roy Nelson
Antonio Silva
55%
45%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 9"
82"
40
Age
Δ 3y
37
22-15
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-13-1
L1
Current streak
L2
16
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nelson: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 27 sig / 0 TD
Roy Nelson
Antonio Silva
22
Sig strikes landed
30
45
Sig strikes attempted
55
41
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
164s
Control time
32s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
71%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roy Nelson
"Big Country"
22-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
16 fights · 7-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
L
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
Blue corner
L2
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—