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Jonathan Wilson vs Ion Cutelaba

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson ·Moda Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jonathan Wilson
Ion Cutelaba
44% 56%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
29
Age
Δ 6y
23
7-4
Career record
Δ 3 pp
20-12-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wilson: 30 sig / 0 TD · Cutelaba: 89 sig / 0 TD
Jonathan Wilson
Ion Cutelaba
35
Sig strikes landed
32
77
Sig strikes attempted
99
45
Total strikes landed
42
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
33s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jonathan Wilson

"Johnny Bravo"
7-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
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Blue corner
L1

Ion Cutelaba

"The Hulk"
20-12-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—