Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cody East
Curtis Blaydes
41%
59%
Why
28
Age
Δ 3y
26
12-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-7
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
East: 21 sig / 3 TD ·
Blaydes: 52 sig / 5 TD
Cody East
Curtis Blaydes
26
Sig strikes landed
31
50
Sig strikes attempted
66
46
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
92s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cody East
"The Freight Train"
12-4
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
Blue corner
L1
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—