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Prelims2 Women's Bantamweight

Kelly Faszholz vs Ketlen Vieira

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson ·Moda Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Kelly Faszholz
Ketlen Vieira
25% 75%
Why
32
Age
Δ 6y
25
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Faszholz: 44 sig / 0 TD · Vieira: 13 sig / 4 TD
Kelly Faszholz
Ketlen Vieira
42
Sig strikes landed
56
85
Sig strikes attempted
104
53
Total strikes landed
88
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
94s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Kelly Faszholz

4-3
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
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Blue corner

Ketlen Vieira

"Fenomeno"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25