Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hacran Dias
Andre Fili
57%
43%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
23-7-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
25-14
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dias: 25 sig / 4 TD ·
Fili: 45 sig / 1 TD
Hacran Dias
Andre Fili
30
Sig strikes landed
33
62
Sig strikes attempted
80
50
Total strikes landed
51
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
225s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Hacran Dias
"Barnabe"
23-7-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
Blue corner
L1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—