Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Henrique da Silva vs Joachim Christensen
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
·Moda Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Henrique da Silva
Joachim Christensen
74%
26%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
27
Age
Δ 11y
38
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
da Silva: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Christensen: 50 sig / 0 TD
Henrique da Silva
Joachim Christensen
51
Sig strikes landed
39
94
Sig strikes attempted
85
67
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
131s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Henrique da Silva
"Frankenstein"
15-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
Blue corner
Joachim Christensen
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38