Back to UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Walt Harris

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson ·Moda Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Walt Harris
70% 30%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
21-8
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-10
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Abdurakhimov: 47 sig / 1 TD · Harris: 33 sig / 0 TD
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Walt Harris
30
Sig strikes landed
26
63
Sig strikes attempted
67
45
Total strikes landed
39
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
65s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Shamil Abdurakhimov

"Abrek"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
Blue corner
W1

Walt Harris

"The Big Ticket"
14-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—