Main
Featherweight
Chas Skelly vs Maximo Blanco
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chas Skelly
Maximo Blanco
85%
15%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
19-4
Career record
Δ 28 pp
12-9-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Skelly: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Blanco: 0 sig / 0 TD
Chas Skelly
Maximo Blanco
33
Sig strikes landed
23
75
Sig strikes attempted
50
50
Total strikes landed
34
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
234s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chas Skelly
"The Scrapper"
19-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
Blue corner
L1
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
12-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—