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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Jose Quinonez vs Joey Gomez

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson ·State Farm Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jose Quinonez
Joey Gomez
65% 35%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
10-5
Career record
Δ 0 pp
6-3
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Quinonez: 56 sig / 5 TD · Gomez: 44 sig / 0 TD
Jose Quinonez
Joey Gomez
41
Sig strikes landed
24
87
Sig strikes attempted
60
66
Total strikes landed
42
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
223s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jose Quinonez

"Teco"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
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L UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
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Blue corner
L1

Joey Gomez

"KO King"
6-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
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