Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Evan Dunham
Ricky Glenn
43%
57%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
35
Age
Δ 7y
27
W3
Current streak
—
14
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dunham: 144 sig / 3 TD ·
Glenn: 58 sig / 0 TD
Evan Dunham
Ricky Glenn
60
Sig strikes landed
56
139
Sig strikes attempted
124
77
Total strikes landed
67
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
149s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Evan Dunham
19-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
Blue corner
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27