Main
Middleweight
Uriah Hall vs Derek Brunson
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Uriah Hall
Derek Brunson
40%
60%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
18-12
Career record
Δ 13 pp
24-9
L1
Current streak
W4
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hall: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Brunson: 4 sig / 0 TD
Uriah Hall
Derek Brunson
25
Sig strikes landed
29
50
Sig strikes attempted
68
37
Total strikes landed
44
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.6
0.5
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
31s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Uriah Hall
"Prime Time"
18-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
Blue corner
W4
Derek Brunson
"The One"
24-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—