Main
Featherweight
Dennis Bermudez vs Rony Jason
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
·Delta Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dennis Bermudez
Rony Jason
66%
34%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 7"
73"
30
Age
Δ 3y
32
18-9
Career record
Δ 0 pp
14-7
W1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bermudez: 48 sig / 5 TD ·
Jason: 9 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Bermudez
Rony Jason
43
Sig strikes landed
29
81
Sig strikes attempted
59
65
Total strikes landed
38
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
225s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
18-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
Blue corner
L1
Rony Jason
14-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—