Main
Welterweight
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Zak Cummings
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
·Delta Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Zak Cummings
69%
31%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
32-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
26-7
W2
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ponzinibbio: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Cummings: 35 sig / 1 TD
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Zak Cummings
33
Sig strikes landed
31
93
Sig strikes attempted
97
40
Total strikes landed
40
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
33s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
32-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
Blue corner
W2
Zak Cummings
26-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—