Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Elizabeth Phillips
73%
27%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
17-10
Career record
Δ 9 pp
7-6
W2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pennington: 33 sig / 3 TD ·
Phillips: 15 sig / 1 TD
Raquel Pennington
Elizabeth Phillips
62
Sig strikes landed
49
125
Sig strikes attempted
126
96
Total strikes landed
75
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
151s
Control time
206s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
Blue corner
W1
Elizabeth Phillips
7-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
L
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—