Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Artem Lobov
Chris Avila
39%
61%
Why
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
L2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lobov: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Avila: 42 sig / 0 TD
Artem Lobov
Chris Avila
29
Sig strikes landed
46
67
Sig strikes attempted
84
54
Total strikes landed
63
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
206s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Artem Lobov
"The Russian Hammer"
13-16-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
Blue corner
Chris Avila
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24