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Prelims1 Heavyweight

Jarjis Danho vs Christian Colombo

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jarjis Danho
Christian Colombo
65% 35%
Why
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Danho: 52 sig / 1 TD · Colombo: 76 sig / 0 TD
Jarjis Danho
Christian Colombo
33
Sig strikes landed
38
69
Sig strikes attempted
77
49
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
178s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jarjis Danho

"Man Mountain"
7-2-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
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Blue corner

Christian Colombo

0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36