Back to UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Prelims1 Middleweight

Scott Askham vs Jack Hermansson

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Scott Askham
Jack Hermansson
45% 55%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
W1
Current streak
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4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Askham: 37 sig / 0 TD · Hermansson: 88 sig / 1 TD
Scott Askham
Jack Hermansson
24
Sig strikes landed
27
57
Sig strikes attempted
46
38
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
122s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Scott Askham

15-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
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L UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
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Blue corner

Jack Hermansson

"The Joker"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28