Prelims1
Lightweight
Rustam Khabilov vs Leandro Silva
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
·Barclaycard Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rustam Khabilov
Leandro Silva
71%
29%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
25-4
Career record
Δ 15 pp
20-7-1
W2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Khabilov: 24 sig / 2 TD ·
Silva: 29 sig / 0 TD
Rustam Khabilov
Leandro Silva
27
Sig strikes landed
26
72
Sig strikes attempted
62
48
Total strikes landed
40
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
193s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
25-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
L1
Leandro Silva
"Buscape"
20-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—