Prelims2
Welterweight
Michael Graves vs Bojan Velickovic
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Michael Graves
Bojan Velickovic
56%
44%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
76"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
7-0-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
16-6-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Graves: 9 sig / 3 TD ·
Velickovic: 17 sig / 1 TD
Michael Graves
Bojan Velickovic
30
Sig strikes landed
26
72
Sig strikes attempted
67
76
Total strikes landed
52
3.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.4
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
372s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Michael Graves
7-0-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
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Blue corner
W1
Bojan Velickovic
"Serbian Steel"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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