Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Wilson Reis
Hector Sandoval
61%
39%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Reis: 4 sig / 3 TD ·
Sandoval: 5 sig / 0 TD
Wilson Reis
Hector Sandoval
30
Sig strikes landed
30
71
Sig strikes attempted
65
53
Total strikes landed
45
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
233s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Wilson Reis
24-10
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
Hector Sandoval
"Kid Alex"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30