Prelims1
Lightweight
Scott Holtzman vs Cody Pfister
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
·Denny Sanford Premier Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Scott Holtzman
Cody Pfister
55%
45%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
14-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
13-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holtzman: 53 sig / 3 TD ·
Pfister: 28 sig / 1 TD
Scott Holtzman
Cody Pfister
38
Sig strikes landed
34
82
Sig strikes attempted
74
66
Total strikes landed
58
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
215s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Scott Holtzman
"Hot Sauce"
14-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
Blue corner
L1
Cody Pfister
"The Fist"
13-7-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—