Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Felipe Arantes vs Jerrod Sanders

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Felipe Arantes
Jerrod Sanders
62% 38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
28
Age
Δ 8y
37
19-10-1
Career record
Δ 22 pp
17-3
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Arantes: 3 sig / 0 TD · Sanders: 6 sig / 1 TD
Felipe Arantes
Jerrod Sanders
27
Sig strikes landed
21
48
Sig strikes attempted
38
47
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
156s
Control time
226s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Felipe Arantes

"Sertanejo"
19-10-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
L UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
W1

Jerrod Sanders

"J-Reazie"
17-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—