Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Russell Doane vs Pedro Munhoz

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Russell Doane
Pedro Munhoz
56% 44%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 6"
65"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
15-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-11
L2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Doane: 18 sig / 0 TD · Munhoz: 14 sig / 1 TD
Russell Doane
Pedro Munhoz
38
Sig strikes landed
38
94
Sig strikes attempted
85
55
Total strikes landed
50
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
205s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
39%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Russell Doane

15-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
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W UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
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Blue corner
L1

Pedro Munhoz

"The Young Punisher"
20-11 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
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W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
L UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—