Prelims1
Bantamweight
Marco Beltran vs Reginaldo Vieira
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marco Beltran
Reginaldo Vieira
47%
53%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
9-6
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Beltran: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Vieira: 20 sig / 3 TD
Marco Beltran
Reginaldo Vieira
30
Sig strikes landed
39
80
Sig strikes attempted
72
43
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.6
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
106s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Marco Beltran
"Psycho"
9-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
W1
Reginaldo Vieira
14-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—