Main
Welterweight
Mike Pyle vs Alberto Mina
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mike Pyle
Alberto Mina
44%
56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
41
Age
Δ 7y
34
28-14-1
Career record
Δ 28 pp
14-1
W1
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pyle: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Mina: 16 sig / 2 TD
Mike Pyle
Alberto Mina
32
Sig strikes landed
45
82
Sig strikes attempted
85
37
Total strikes landed
51
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
43s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
28-14-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
Blue corner
W2
Alberto Mina
"Soldier of God"
14-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—