Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Main Welterweight

Alan Jouban vs Belal Muhammad

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alan Jouban
Belal Muhammad
28% 72%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
W1
Current streak
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6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jouban: 86 sig / 0 TD · Muhammad: 77 sig / 2 TD
Alan Jouban
Belal Muhammad
36
Sig strikes landed
37
79
Sig strikes attempted
75
46
Total strikes landed
54
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
49s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Alan Jouban

"Brahma"
18-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
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Blue corner

Belal Muhammad

"Remember the Name"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28