Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Francis Ngannou
Bojan Mihajlovic
87%
13%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 10"
73"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ngannou: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Mihajlovic: 3 sig / 0 TD
Francis Ngannou
Bojan Mihajlovic
41
Sig strikes landed
21
78
Sig strikes attempted
50
46
Total strikes landed
31
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
94s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
Blue corner
Bojan Mihajlovic
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36