Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Cormier
Anderson Silva
58%
42%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
37
Age
Δ 4y
41
23-3
Career record
Δ 15 pp
34-12
W2
Current streak
L3
7
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cormier: 33 sig / 3 TD ·
Silva: 17 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Cormier
Anderson Silva
46
Sig strikes landed
33
77
Sig strikes attempted
68
85
Total strikes landed
42
2.7
Takedowns landed
-0.1
5.3
Takedowns attempted
-0.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
327s
Control time
-5s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
L3
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
34-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
L
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—