Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cat Zingano
Julianna Pena
41%
59%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
10-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-6
L1
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zingano: 11 sig / 3 TD ·
Pena: 12 sig / 2 TD
Cat Zingano
Julianna Pena
20
Sig strikes landed
24
35
Sig strikes attempted
49
40
Total strikes landed
65
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
182s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cat Zingano
"Alpha"
10-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
W3
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—