Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Joe Lauzon
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
32-13
Career record
Δ 9 pp
28-17
W1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sanchez: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Lauzon: 22 sig / 0 TD
Diego Sanchez
Joe Lauzon
38
Sig strikes landed
40
94
Sig strikes attempted
92
52
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
100s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
32-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joe Lauzon
28-17
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
14 fights · 7-7
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—