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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Sara McMann vs Jessica Eye

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Sara McMann
Jessica Eye
57% 43%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
13-7
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-12
L2
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McMann: 22 sig / 2 TD · Eye: 10 sig / 0 TD
Sara McMann
Jessica Eye
35
Sig strikes landed
31
79
Sig strikes attempted
79
65
Total strikes landed
61
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
270s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Sara McMann

13-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
W UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
L2

Jessica Eye

"Evil"
15-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 5 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
L UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—