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Jake Collier vs Alberto Uda

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jake Collier
Alberto Uda
46% 54%
Why
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
L1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Collier: 27 sig / 1 TD · Uda: 15 sig / 1 TD
Jake Collier
Alberto Uda
38
Sig strikes landed
42
88
Sig strikes attempted
82
53
Total strikes landed
59
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jake Collier

"The Prototype"
13-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
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W UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
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L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
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Blue corner

Alberto Uda

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32