Main
Middleweight
Chris Camozzi vs Vitor Miranda
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Camozzi
Vitor Miranda
73%
27%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
30
Age
Δ 8y
37
25-13
Career record
Δ 6 pp
13-5
W2
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Camozzi: 43 sig / 1 TD ·
Miranda: 27 sig / 1 TD
Chris Camozzi
Vitor Miranda
51
Sig strikes landed
42
102
Sig strikes attempted
82
63
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chris Camozzi
25-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
15 fights · 8-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
L
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
Blue corner
W3
Vitor Miranda
"Lex Luthor"
13-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—