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Andrew Sanchez vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Andrew Sanchez
Khalil Rountree Jr.
49% 51%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 31 sig / 6 TD · Rountree Jr.: 14 sig / 0 TD
Andrew Sanchez
Khalil Rountree Jr.
34
Sig strikes landed
36
70
Sig strikes attempted
75
48
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Andrew Sanchez

"El Dirte"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26