🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Claudia Gadelha
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Claudia Gadelha
55%
45%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
17-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-5
W5
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Jedrzejczyk: 176 sig / 1 TD ·
Gadelha: 63 sig / 4 TD
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Claudia Gadelha
113
Sig strikes landed
78
237
Sig strikes attempted
206
135
Total strikes landed
107
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
10.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
83s
Control time
273s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
17-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner
W1
Claudia Gadelha
"Claudinha"
19-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—